Arsenal at 74% confidence. Saliba + Gabriel have started together 18 times this season with a clean sheet rate of 61%. Chelsea's away xG drops to 0.92 per 90 without Palmer in the starting XI, and he's flagged as doubtful.
Based on 2024/25 season data · 189 features analysed
Y
What if Palmer starts?
A
Drops to 62% confidence. Palmer's away form is strong — 0.48 xG + 0.31 xA per 90 on the road. The combination of Palmer + Jackson has produced 2.1 goals per 90 in 8 away starts together. Still Arsenal, but tighter.
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